Project Zeros
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EP 015 · Shutdown · 39 min · PT

Quanto custa o EURO 2024? e BeReal. foi BeAcquired.

Jun 19, 2024

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The economics of Euro 2024 reveal a tournament that moves staggering sums while operating on paper-thin margins. UEFA expects €2.4 billion in total revenue from this year's championship in Germany, yet projects only €70 million in profit—a 3% margin. Half the revenue goes to charity, while €650 million covers stadium operations and another €331 million in prize money alone. Television rights (€1.4 billion) and commercial partnerships drive the bulk of income, though the first betting company to sponsor a European championship—Betano—signals new monetization frontiers. For Germany, the economic upside is clearer: €1 billion in hospitality and retail spending, 600,000 extra visitors, and 1.5 million additional hotel nights. The tournament moves enormous capital but concentrates returns narrowly.

Against that financial arithmetic stands a quieter breakthrough: Unbabel Halo, presented at the UN's AI for Good summit, restores functional speech to ALS patients through non-invasive neural interfaces. The technology sidesteps the invasiveness of Neuralink by measuring muscle electrical signals (EMG) rather than brain waves, detecting the motor patterns associated with speech intent. A language model expands single detected words into full sentences, then text-to-speech synthesis produces audio. Users confirm or refine suggestions via the same EMG interface—a closed loop requiring no surgery. Unbabel spent four years moving from EEG to EMG, recognizing that cleaner signals matter more than richer ones. The CEO, Vasco Pedro, frames this as humanity acquiring a new "uber-cortex"—an external cerebral layer mediated by AI. It solves a genuine accessibility problem while stress-testing technology that may later democratize.

BeReal's exit to Voodoo for €500 million represents the soft landing of a platform that couldn't resolve the creator's dilemma: authenticity and engagement are almost always inversely correlated. Launched in 2019 by French founders, BeReal forced users to photograph themselves within a two-minute window to see others' posts, creating friction that discouraged performative content. It reached 50 million users in 2022, with 25 million active six days weekly, yet stalled. Growth required either ads (killing the anti-Instagram premise), subscriptions (incompatible with Gen Z economics), or sustained founder capital. With ten months of runway left, the founders chose acquisition. Voodoo, a €587 million unicorn built on hyper-casual mobile gaming and ad-supported models, purchased the platform for €500 million—below valuation but without dilution. The irony settles quickly: Voodoo will monetize BeReal with ads, destroying the very quality that differentiated it. The company survives as an asset; the concept does not.